Estimated Sustainable Discharge Rate
Based on 1992 -1995  Water Levels in Mountain Lake

This analysis examines the weekly records of the water level in Mountain Lake from 1992 - 1995:
We thank the employees at Moran State Park for providing this data as part of the Mountain Lake Management and Operations Agreement.

Click on the image for a larger view of the wide chart, or for one specific year: 1992 1993 1994 1995 
Read the chart carefully, the horizontal lines are at 5" steps in the water level, the vertical lines vary, and are not months.
The raw text data will be digitized and put on the web later.

The graph shows that the lake only filled to capacity once during the four year period for which we have detailed records.
The graph shows the level rises when the recharge from rainfall and inflow exceeds the discharge.
When there is little or no rainfall, the rate of drop of the water level can be converted into a flow rate based on the area of Mountain Lake.
A steady discharge of 3 CFS (= 361.3 acre ft/month) corresponds to a steady drop of  5"/wk given the area of Mountain Lake is 198 acres.
This steep slope of 5"/wk does not show up on the graphs even once.

Based on the rate of fall the following rates of discharge have been calculated:
Date




Level (inches) Drop in feet Acre ft Duration(days) Acre ft/yr
08/19/9 14.4




12/03/93 1.2 1.1 217.8 106 750






05/06/94 7.2



07/11/94 1.2 0.5 99 66 548







The discharge rate from Mountain before the 93/94 rainy season was approximately 748 acre ft/yr
The discharge rate from Mountain after    the 93/94 rainy season was approximately 550 acre ft/yr
The net loss in storage from Mountain Lake was 238 acre ft.

Without depleting the storage during these non drought years, using an average93/94 discharge rate,
the sustainable discharge is estimated at 411 acre ft/year.

The rate of withdrawal from Mountain Lake that can be sustained if the highest level  is allowed to fluctuate from year to year is probably of the order of 500 acre ft/year. This could be estimated with better accuracy if the weekly rainfall records were correlated with the change in lake levels, and the 4 years of records were compared to the 100 years of data available from NOAA.

The onset of the rainy season is usually quite pronounced. The end is more tapered:

(Click on the graph to go to the Western Regional Climate Center for more options)

Unfortunately there are no detailed records of how or when the flow out of Mountain Lake was adjusted.
Ongoing instream flow measurements will provide some useful data, however the data must be used carefully since the volume of water diverted at the Rosario diversion is not accurately measured, and  there is a substantial return flow, (often 100% while the initial diversion at or less than 2 CFS.)

Sandy Taylor
Olga Water Users Inc.